Grayscale Bitcoin ETF decision could happen this week, pundits say

The pending Grayscale ruling could impact the race for an approved spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund.

Grayscale Bitcoin ETF decision could happen this week, pundits say

Grayscale Investments, which has been seeking to convert its Bitcoin

BTC

tickers down

$29,337

trust into a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund, could be getting a decision on its lawsuit against the federal securities regulator before the week’s end.

In an Aug. 11 tweet, Scott Johnsson, a general partner of Van Buren Capital, explained that law clerks in the United States District Courts generally cycle out in August, pushing judges to clear out the caseload “before the new guard arrives.”

He noted that 30 out of 32 cases in March of 2021 and 2022 were heard by United States District Courts within 160 days of oral testimony, which also landed them in August, adding that it has also been 160 days since Grayscale delivered its oral arguments in its suit against the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on March 7.

As of now, including Grayscale, there are only a small number of unresolved March-argued cases that remain, Johnsson added.

Meanwhile, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart says the decision could even come as early as Aug. 15, noting the date has been his “theoretical Grayscale lawsuit decision date” for some time.

Johnsson added in his thread that Seyffart’s prediction is a “pretty decently good bet.”

Related: An ETF will bring a revolution for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies

In June 2022, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rejected Grayscale’s application to convert its GBTC to a spot Bitcoin ETF.

In response, Grayscale sued the securities regulator, saying it was acting arbitrarily by failing to apply consistent treatment to similar investment vehicles.

A number of industry commentators, including ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood and ETF analyst Nate Geraci, have tipped Grayscale to win the lawsuit.

Grayscale recently voiced that the SEC should approve all Bitcoin spot ETF applications simultaneously to prevent firms from having an advantage over other applicants.

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